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2022 Nikon Predictions and Expectations

Darin Marcus

Well-known member
2022 is finally upon us, and it appears that Nikon entered the new year on a high note. They are scrambling to fill all the preorders for their recently released camera and lenses, and it looks like that may take a while, since they are selling everything that they are able to produce.

This takes place during a time of component shortages that are forcing Nikon, as well as other photo equipment manufacturers, to temporarily stop production for some current cameras/lenses/accessories, and very likely to delay the announcement/release of new equipment.


Taking all that into consideration, what do you think Nikon will announce/release during 2022?
I am splitting this into expectations (things that you are interested in, and will likely try/own), and general predictions for things that may not interest you, at least for now :)


In my case, photography is not a business but a hobby, and all my bags are full now (I had to buy a new one in 2021…), covering all my current needs and then some, so I am not looking for any new equipment in 2022.

In term of predictions, I think the Z9 will continue to sell pretty well during 2022, and Nikon will not do anything that may stop that for as long as possible – that means no new high-performance FF camera announced in 2022. The Z7 II and Z6 II will also not be replaced during 2022 but will receive a few firmware updates that will further improve their performance and capabilities.

To recover Z9 R&D costs, especially due to its lower than expected price, Nikon will have to reuse technologies in other cameras, but for 2022 I think that will only happen in a Z90. A Zf based on the Z5 is also a strong possibility. Not sure about a Z8 or an entry level Z30.

In terms of lenses, I am not interested in any of the unreleased Z lenses from the current roadmap. But Nikon might get my attention with a “surprise” lens that I did not know I need :D. For now, I am only aware of some extremely vague rumors about new "lines" of lenses and proposed lenses that are quite intriguing and would represent new "firsts." (https://www.zsystemuser.com/nikon-z-system-news-and/nikkor-rumblings.html)

As for DSLRs and F mount lenses… 👼
 

tcdeveau

Well-known member
I’m pretty much just looking forward to my Z9 order getting fulfilled at some point.

No idea when that might be but I may look at placing a second order with a smaller shop and seeing what happens if it doesn’t ship in the next 2-3 weeks (I ordered from B&H within two minutes of preorders opening up).

In 2022 I’d like to see a 85 1.2 from them…a development announcement for a native 200 f2 and 180-400 + TC would also be nice :)
 

ptomsu

Workshop Member
I am looking forward to a decent FW update for my Z7II and maybe the 100-400.

WRT Z8 I can wait as long as that Z7II FW update does what I expect.
 

Darin Marcus

Well-known member
I've seen that Yodobashi notice, and I am not quite sure what to make of it - are they saying that if someone places an order now, they will not get their Z9 until October 2022?
I find it hard to believe that they will not get a single Z9 until then (for the preorders)... From what I'm reading in other places, here in the US stores are receiving small deliveries periodically - for example a new batch is apparently expected this week (although that will mostly go to NPS preorders).
 

Darin Marcus

Well-known member
No idea when that might be but I may look at placing a second order with a smaller shop and seeing what happens if it doesn’t ship in the next 2-3 weeks (I ordered from B&H within two minutes of preorders opening up).
I always order new Nikon equipment from my local camera store. They do get their fair share of NPS reservations for hot items, but if you are a "loyal" customer, they'll (try to) find a way to squeeze you in :D

In 2022 I’d like to see a 85 1.2 from them…a development announcement for a native 200 f2 and 180-400 + TC would also be nice :)
I definitely believe the 85 1.2 will come this year.
 

tcdeveau

Well-known member
I always order new Nikon equipment from my local camera store. They do get their fair share of NPS reservations for hot items, but if you are a "loyal" customer, they'll (try to) find a way to squeeze you in :D
You’re lucky you have a local Nikon dealer, I’m in the not exactly so small city of Atlanta and all the local shops for Nikon are gone. AFAIK my local Nikon dealer has been Best Buy for awhile :(
 

KeithL

Active member
My needs are simple. I expect to be using my Z7 bodies and existing Z mount lenses for years to come. For the moment at least and equipment wise, about the only thing that would excite me would be if Voigtlander were to release their VM lens range in Z mount.

I know, this says more about me and my requirements than it does about the typical Nikon Z customer.
 

k-hawinkler

Well-known member

Darin Marcus

Well-known member
As for what I am looking forward to, a Z mount 105mm 1.4, 24 and 45 PCe lenses and maybe a Z mount replacement for my 200-500 5.6 but that is about it really.
I am curious to see which Nikon lens will be the first 1.4 in the Z mount.

They seem to have chosen 1.2 instead of 1.4 so far, and many are looking forward to the 85 1.2 that should be released this year. For longer focal lengths like 105 however, 1.2 might be less “practical” so they could switch back to 1.4, although I believe people will get used to bigger sizes if the lenses are lighter…

Will they replace the F mount 105 1.4 (which works so well adapted) with a Z mount version soon, or will they come up with a 125/135mm f/1.4 in Z mount instead? Remains to be seen, but I expect the competition between brands to increase more in the lens realm than in the camera space, and as a result new and interesting lens designs will show up.
 
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