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Phase One IQ5 – Sony 247 MPX – 3:2 – will you get it?

Will you upgrade to an IQ5?

  • Yes! – 250 megapixels in a new advance IQ5 body?! I'm down, even if it is 3:2!

    Votes: 5 6.8%
  • Maybe - I am fine with my old back / Hassy / Fuji ... maybe if it good enough

    Votes: 12 16.2%
  • No way – I've moved to Fuji / Hassy

    Votes: 13 17.6%
  • No way – too expensive, can't afford it (privately / business)

    Votes: 25 33.8%
  • No way – 3:2 is a no-go for me

    Votes: 17 23.0%
  • Yes! But only if there's a good trade-in, even if it is 3:2!

    Votes: 2 2.7%

  • Total voters
    74

ThdeDude

Well-known member
Well, nothing in addition to the 60,000 to buy it…. ; )
I am sure that there are "deals" out there.

Wonder whether XC23 and XC40 are more something that is intended to keep P1 relevant than something P1 expects to sell in any significant numbers!
 

Paul Spinnler

Well-known member
Given the product manager did the video alone, dealers are doing the distribution, every single one is so expensive that its profitable from the getgo (think a cool 9-10k profit per unit) they don't need to sell a of these to keep the business running. XC23 did better than expected, apparently, which emboldened them to go in the direction of XC40
 

jduncan

Active member
With the introduction of the new Sony large format chip in 3:2 (54x36mm) it is clear that Phase One is now working on the next-gen digital back.

As a result, they've re-invigorated marketing, released new products this year (XC40, 70/90 SB XT tilt, 150 tele).

It is highly unlikely that they'll commission a custom chip from Sony so I am 99.9% certain we'll see the IQ5 / 247 or 250 MPX end of this or beg. of next year.

Maybe it will be announced before X-Mas.

I'd expect following features:

+ Sony next-gen BSI 247 MPX chip
+ 0.5 stop more DR, potentially
+ Improved I/O meaning Wifi 6/7 and bluetooth, better battery
+ Improved onboard processing
+ EVF compatibility

Together with the new XC40 we'll have a "mirrorless" digital camera system priced at 60k USD as a kit or 48k / 20k standalone + a new EVF accessory.

Alongside the new system we'll see the launch of the XT XL which would complete the XT system - whether there will be a fix to rotate the lens to get swing remains to be seen - probably just a Cambo rehash with a trigger button and 18mm left/right.

Expect trade in with IQ4 to cost c. 25-28k and with older backs more.

The increased resolution + EVF means its a legit manual focus walkaround camera and you can crop more which makes the XC40 a very flexible solution as the high megapixel count means you can have a 150 megapixel normal shot, 100 megapixel portrait, etc. all with one lens / back combo.

With or after the launch of the IQ5 series we'll have Leica enter the MFD scene with their S4, sporting Apo 2.0 S4 optics.

I expect a price point in the 12-14k region for the new S body.

I highly recommend owners of IQ4 systems to keep their backs as the trade-in value will anchor pricing / give you the cheapest path to the IQ5.

With the launch of the IQ5 series and improving economy I'd expect lens prices of sought after SK glass to rise further and Rodie HR glass to stabilize.

With even smaller pixels and BSI tech the SK legends 43/60XL will be incredible tools jointly with the IQ5.

*****

So are you down for the new IQ5?
The ultimate imaging tool, high DR Sony next-gen BSI, available in achro / colour, for tech cam use, XF, XT, XC?


****
The only remaining question is whether we'll see custom AF glass from P1 for the new XC range beyond the XC40 based on Rodie... let's see.

P1 will again be at the pinnacle of the MF world with the highest resolution digital sensor ever released commercially.
In good theory the Industrial sensor has a lower dynamic range, it's significant based on the specks. It will be normal for people to look the other way and ignore it, after all
people do what they want to do and for subconscious reasons.

I believe that even if the image quality suffers in terms of DR, and the rest of the parameters are acceptable, the cameras will sell. After all the P1 cameras are a studio tool and we have lights to ensure DR is within parameters.

Many did, and continue to do wonders with the CCD backs by controlling the light.

The question is what other advances will they put in the camera if it ever sees the light of day, with this sensor or with any other?

Best regards,
 

Paul Spinnler

Well-known member
Indeed the question is the package question.

The sum of all parts could be bigger than each item.

A 250 megapixel sensor with ALL AROUND improvements could be enticing.

Just the addition of WIFI 7 with blazing fast transfer speeds, concurrent live streaming and tethering would be a game changer.

Add to that bluetooth triggering, longer lasting battery, faster onboard processing ...

and all of a sudden I can see a lot of people upgrading.

There's a huge backlog of IQ2/3/4 backs ... and resolution is one thing, but there's also the other stuff.

I also want to point out that the IQ5 / 247 is the ultimate 35mm one shot scanning solution - coupled with the Rodenstock HR 105 or some other ultra high performing industrial machine vision lens ... but then again for stitching purposes the the fact we have 36mm on the short end means one can only shift 16 left and right with enough overlap to produce a great stitch instead of previously 18mm which incidentally is the width left and right of the Alpa Max.
 
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ThdeDude

Well-known member
On second thought, I think is highly unlikely that P1 will change anything on format size or ratio.

P1 has the big advantage of an established user base with their XF, XT, and XC systems. Any IQ5 will have to work effortlessly with these systems, in particular lenses. What I sense reading the posts here is that P1 users want of course better performance (resolution) but what most really want is a much better "user experience" (start-up time, battery consumption, usable WIFI, etc.).

In contrast, Leica might be OK starting more afresh with their S4 (assuming the well-placed rumors about an upcoming S4 are correct). There are enough well-heeled amateurs and well-paid professionals that would be willing and able to pay a substantial premium for the name "Leica". The 3:2 aspect ratio is also traditionally/historically closely associated with Leica. Could be a good differentiator from P1, HB, and Fuji.
 

Paul Spinnler

Well-known member
Leica is the big winner as they waited the longest to enter the MF mirrorless era and can leverage ample experience from the SL camera series - both on the manufacturing side and on the overall UI side.

Phase has none of that - they just have their digital backs and somehow need to concoct an "ok" mirrorless experience around it with Rodenstock glass. Not an easy proposition.

On top, Leica's glass is expected to be mindblowingly good - like take the SL APO glass MTFs and spread it out on 44x33 and make all lenses 2.0 APO – there you go the fastest and most excellent optics in MF land.

Spring 2025 will be the time where everything will be laid out bare in terms of options. 2025 is going to be exciting.

One 40 XC lens costs as much as most likely an S4 + a new S4 next-gen Leica optic.

Cannot wait to re-use all the S classics like the 100 2.0, 24 3.5, 35 2.5 on the new S4.
 

wattsy

Well-known member
One 40 XC lens costs as much as most likely an S4 + a new S4 next-gen Leica optic.
Maybe but I wouldn't assume the S4 is going to be quite the bargain you seem to expect. A new M11 is $9k or so and a Q3 is $6k😲. I wouldn't be surprised to see a 180MP S4 costing $20k and the lenses priced around the $10k mark.
 

ThdeDude

Well-known member
[QUOTE="Paul Spinnler, post: 915779, member: 4323"
Spring 2025 will be the time where everything will be laid out bare in terms of options. 2025 is going to be exciting.
[/QUOTE]

OK. Will add Leica S4 to my "2025" list.
 

Paul Spinnler

Well-known member
Maybe but I wouldn't assume the S4 is going to be quite the bargain you seem to expect. A new M11 is $9k or so and a Q3 is $6k😲. I wouldn't be surprised to see a 180MP S4 costing $20k and the lenses priced around the $10k mark.
My understanding from conversations with Leica people from product management was that it'll be below S3 and above Hassy / Fuji. They want to sell systems, so they won't do sth insane, but here they are in competition with Fuji and Hassy.

The "M" is its own thing with its own cult clientele and no real competition; but on the SL/Q/S front, their pricing is a bit less extreme and more exposed to competitive alternatives, meaning SL/Q stuff for 6-7k vs 9k on the "cult" M side; so I'd expect the S4 to clock in at shy of double the SL3 cost, so somewhere around 12-14k, could ofc be more, but they don't want again the situation of Hassy and Fuji moving tons of systems and them not on the S side. Besides, they can sell at 14k and as you point out have a 8k-10k price point on glass and therefore make the money there and not on the bodies so much.

The good thing about the new S is that it'll be compatible with the whole Leicaverse. So essentially with the S4 you can sell off all SL stuff and concentrate on one M12M and one S4. The M12M because it'll be unique with an achromatic sensor and 110 achro in your pocket is amazing, I'd say.

M / SL glass via adapters on the new S. Given Leica is the last mover in this game, they'll bring out an absolute killer of a system - they want to make a strong entrance ...

So if it is not 20ish for the S4 + one lens, it might be 22ish, but the message is for one XC40 you get a lot more from the competition - but P1's pricing was never for the faint of heart, so no news here.

Its kind of cool to think that the S4 will be the ultimate Leica covering all their historic lens lines - ie from a Noct 0.95M to an APO SL 28 to the next-gen S APO optics. Very cool, because so many already own Leica glass - easiest transition ever!
 
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hcubell

Well-known member
One BIG question with a new mirrorless S4 is this....does Leica know how to put the S4 on a diet? An S4 that weighs 50% more than an X2D and a line of f/2 APO lenses that are big and heavy will be a nonstarter for many photographers that might be open to a possible alternative to Fuji and Hassy. The weight and size of the SL body and lenses are not encouraging precedents. The amount of the premium cost of the system will be a separate issue. The lenses for the S4 may very well be excellent, but the Fuji and Hasselblad lenses are pretty damn good.
 

ThdeDude

Well-known member
...does Leica know how to put the S4 on a diet? ...
Good point. But for studio and the occasional field work, weight and bulk may not be a major consideration. I don't think a Leica S4 would be a first choice for most landscape photographer.
 

Doppler9000

Well-known member
Good point. But for studio and the occasional field work, weight and bulk may not be a major consideration. I don't think a Leica S4 would be a first choice for most landscape photographer.
How big is the market for a medium format studio camera, that isn’t covered by Fuji, Hasselblad, and Phase?
 

ThdeDude

Well-known member
How big is the market for a medium format studio camera, that isn’t covered by Fuji, Hasselblad, and Phase?
For many, including clients, Leica has a certain cachet not matched by other brands.

But I see your point. An S4 will have to be competitive and must get everything right straight out of the box.
 

Paul Spinnler

Well-known member
So overall, the verdict is that there's still a core group of people interested in this, but it'll require some good features to convince?

Personally, if they add EVF and up the DR a tiny bit I'd be interested. EVF is the single most important ancillary feature ...

Any further views on this one?
 

dchew

Well-known member
As long as we are discussing all this with little real information and a lot of not-so-real speculation, I'm all in with what I know Phase is going to make: They will stitch two of these sensors together for a 72x54mm sensor (4:3), 495 mpx, 90 mm IC, 17 stops of DR and a 0.1 second scan time. The screen will be 1 billion dots.

I can't wait.

Dave
 
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Paul Spinnler

Well-known member
Dave, no need to make absurd points.

As said, I have confirmation from trusted sources that a 247 MPX IQ5 is in the works. Mark my words. There's an off-chance they might re-think it and spend the extra capital to get to 54x40mm with Sony, but I doubt the current decision to stick with the standard offering from Sony and just work with what's easily available in the market will easily be changed. You can see that there's 0 money allocated to R&D - the XC40 is just standard components with a new helical from Cambo. There's no real R&D spend here, e.g. to add autofocus, for example, with own optics.

I've accurately mentioned 90 SB XT tilt, etc. and I also have confirmation on the S4 target spec of APO optics is F2.0.

Whether you like it or not - what we'll get is the new Sony chip which has been announced by Sony on their webpage in a new package and the market will decide whether its still sellable in 2025.

It is very predictable what Phase will come out with and they don't even allocate the cash to the bespoke division to do real ads anymore – the product manager just walked around Copenhagen and they hacked together a short presentation video on top of that + the small clip vom CI on youtube.

Degrading the product manager to be his own sales ad creator goes to show what the standing of bespoke is internally, lol.

I think its quite a relevant topic to discuss the ramifications of P1 moving to 3:2 due to available components as it upends a bit a long tradition of 5:4 / 4:3 digital back aspect ratio which has become one of the most (unspoken) reasons to shoot the large digital backs.

If that's changing and all we have is 3:2 everywhere then its quite a change. I personally cheris the 54x40mm format because it is reminiscent of LF photography, e.g. 4x5.

Another thing I started noticing: CI now requires a downpayment on certain P1 items, like the new 150 tele, which goes to show how the market has changed.

Also, as I've said many times now, the introduction of the SB adapter essentially confirms the XT XL I've been mentioning here for a while.

You don't need to put the 90 in SB if you don't intend to provide wider shift opps.
 
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