The Phase One announcement is definitely encouraging because it means that the 100MP 33x44mm sensor is in production and going into cameras that will be shipped in June, albeit "industrial" aerial cameras. I would expect Hasselblad and Fuji to announce new products at Photokina or in the flurry of pre-Photokina press coverage in late summer. But the sizes of these companies are radically different. Hasselblad is tiny in comparison to Fuji and likely needs to squeeze all the juice it can from the current models before cannibalizing the market for those models by announcing new ones. I also expect the price point for a 100MP X camera to be north of $10K USD.
With a 100MP sensor comes the need to process twice the amount of data in-camera for a 3.63MP EVF (my prediction), higher resolution Live View rear LCD display, creating a RAW file (and JPEG if the user chooses), and writing to an SD card. That processing produces heat, which may be the biggest bugaboo in the design process. We all know how hot the base of the current X1D gets during use. I'm a fan of the current X1D form factor and would not be in favor of changing that form factor to accommodate a 100MP sensor.
In the meantime, my X1D is performing great. I just got back from the Smokies and had 2½ days of fun photography, sometimes in the rain. I had one "lock up" that required a battery drop and reboot, but nothing that would cause me to miss a shot. I'm in the "good enough" zone.
Joe
Hi,
I agree with you, but wanted to add some extra bits:
1) Following Ming Thein comments about the "needs of X1D" I will hope that they offload part of the software functions to ASIC (application specific integrated circuit) or FPGAs or even better DSPs (fully programmable thus). If they do that, and Thein was not venting because they don't listen to him, that improve the performance per watt in a meaningful way.
Kepping the form-factor as close as possible is key.
2) They could go the two cameras during the transition route. They will have the same sensor size, and that is less than ideal and will let them open to a P1 assault but it will work for them: Sale the camera around 10K and keep the X1D at the current discount price until sellout. This is the last time the jump in resolution will be so high in a long time, so, if there is a moment to do that is now.
3) The new sensor, as stated before is not only about resolution. The capabilities it has, including readout time are much better.
4) I hope they are working on the "Big sensor" mirrorless. I am not sure that the traditional MF format modular construction will support the tolerances of a 150mpixel sensor, let alone a 200Mpixel one. They need new lenses, and I am not sure they can sustain the development of two different platforms simultaneously.
Best regards,